The Valspar Championship Picks, Props, Predictions: Betting Jordan Spieth, Sepp Straka and Tom Kim

We had our first first-round lead winner last week and it came, once again, from Tap in Birdie podcast host Brian Kirschner, who hit J.J. Spaun on a +8000 ticket with a three-way chop at The Players. That’s Kirschner’s second correct pick this year following Joe Highsmith (+11000) at the Cognizant. We’re all chasing Kirschner, who is now up over 118 units on the year.

This week, the SI Golf Betting panel turns its attention to the Valspar Championship at the Innisbrook Resort Copperhead Course. This is the last stop of the Florida swing and the weather is expected to play a big role in the outcome, with the AM-PM tee time having an advantage, on paper, over the PM-AM group, which is expected to see heavier winds.

The panel is comprised of Kirschner, SI Golf betting insiders Iain MacMillan and Matt Vincenzi, SI senior golf editor John Schwarb, FanSided senior editor and golf bettor Cody Williams and Minute Media VP of Betting Content Brian Giuffra. Each week, we make picks for our outright winner, longshot, first-round leader, favorite prop bet and winning score prediction.

On the year, MacMillan is down 11.86 units but is 4-2 on his prop picks. Vincenzi is down 16 units and is 2-4 on props. Giuffra is down 17 units and is 3-2 on props. Schwarb is down 19 units, but hit his prop last week and is now 2-4 on the year. Williams is down 21 units and is 1-5 on props.

Besides the weather, the Copperhead Course favors accurate drivers who can move the ball both ways. There will be some longer approach shots this week and some long Par 3s as well.

Despite coming a week after The Players, there are plenty of big names in the field. Our panel picked a few of them, though not the ones you might think.

Here are our picks with breakdowns of them below the graphic.