2024 BMW Championship odds, predictions, prop bets: Model’s Scottie Scheffler picks revealed

Scottie Scheffler has alternated tournament wins over his last six starts, which could make his fourth-place finish last week at the 2024 FedEx Cup Playoffs opener a good thing. Scheffler enters the 2024 BMW Championship this week not having gone back-to-back tournaments without a victory since May. The World No. 1 is among the top 50 in the FedEx Cup Playoffs standings to get invited to the BMW Championship 2024, which will tee off on Thursday from Castle Pines Golf Club in suburban Denver.

Scheffler is the +320 favorite in the latest 2024 BMW Championship odds, while last week’s winner in Hideki Matsuyama has +1800 odds. Scheffler still tops the Cup playoffs after one event, while the man in second place, Xander Schauffele, is also second on the PGA Tour odds board at +650. Rory McIlroy is at +1000 to utilize in BMW Championship 2024 bets, and Collin Morikawa is at +1200.

Before locking in any 2024 BMW Championship picks, Scottie Scheffler props, or golf picks at sites like FanDuel, DraftKings, Underdog Fantasy, PrizePicks, or Pick6, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and this year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now with the BMW Championship 2024 locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 BMW Championship predictions
One surprise: Tony Finau, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. This tournament has bounced around different courses, but Finau has shown up almost everywhere it’s been contested. He has five top 15s over his last seven BMW Championship starts. He won a FedEx Cup playoffs event in 2021 and enters this one on a roll, with three top 10s and five top-16 finishes over his last six tournament starts of any kind.

Castle Pines Golf Club has greens that are above average in size, but it also has tight pin locations, making accuracy on approach shots important. Finau is second on tour in strokes gained: approach the green, and putting himself in advantageous positions with his putter has led to Finau posting the seventh-highest birdie average. Finau has a much better chance to win than his long odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.